23828 is a true toss-up. About 48% of voters here vote Democratic and 52% Republican.
About 65% of adults in 23828 typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 23828, ~31% vote Democratic, ~34% Republican, and ~35% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 23828 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 23828 leans more Republican than 2 of 12 neighbors.
23828 runs about 11 points more Republican than Virginia as a whole.
Why 23828 leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in 23828. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Population density and Republican lean
Places with low population density tend to lean Republican; 23828, VA sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in 23828 looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. 23828 is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 64%, above 60% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Virginia Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.