23868 leans heavily Democratic by roughly 32 points: about 66% of voters vote Democratic and 34% Republican.
About 66% of adults in 23868 typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 23868, ~44% vote Democratic, ~22% Republican, and ~34% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 23868 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 23868 is the most Democratic-leaning.
23868 runs about 27 points more Democratic than Virginia as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 23868. The east side runs the most Democratic (D+54) and the southwest side runs the most Republican (R+21), a spread of about 75 points.
Why 23868 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 23868, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with many never-married adults vote Democratic. About 47% of adults in 23868 have never been married, well above similar-sized zip codes (around 29%).
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; 23868, VA sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in 23868 looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. 23868 is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Virginia Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.