24070 is a Republican stronghold. About 23% of voters here vote Democratic and 77% Republican.
About 83% of adults in 24070 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 24070, ~19% vote Democratic, ~64% Republican, and ~17% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 24070 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 24070 leans more Republican than 10 of 12 neighbors.
24070 runs about 60 points more Republican than Virginia as a whole. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while 24070 is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 24070. The west side is the most Republican-leaning (R+65) and the southwest side is the least Republican-leaning (R+50), a spread of about 15 points.
Why 24070 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 24070, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
24070 votes against the grain of Virginia. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while 24070 runs about 60 points more Republican. Rural areas vote Republican, and 24070 sits in the bottom quarter on density (about 5%, below 82% of zip codes).
Paved land cover and Republican lean
Places with little paved surface tend to lean Republican; 24070, VA sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in 24070 looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. 24070 is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 69%, about 9 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 96% of households in 24070 own their home, compared to around 66% in nearby zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Virginia Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.