24216 is a Republican stronghold. About 19% of voters here vote Democratic and 81% Republican.
About 56% of adults in 24216 typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 24216, ~11% vote Democratic, ~45% Republican, and ~44% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 24216 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 24216 leans more Republican than 6 of 15 neighbors.
24216 runs about 68 points more Republican than Virginia as a whole. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while 24216 is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why 24216 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 24216, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas vote Republican. About 4% of residents in 24216 live in densely developed areas, about 21 points below the Virginia average of 26%. Low college attainment predicts Republican voting, and 24216 sits in the bottom quarter (about 14%, below 84% of zip codes). 24216 runs against the grain of Virginia, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; 24216, VA sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in 24216 looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. 24216 is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 25% of adults in 24216 report food insecurity, above 88% of zip codes. High-crime urban areas turn out at lower rates, and 24216 sits in the top 15% on a violent-crime measure. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Virginia Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.