32403 leans heavily Republican by roughly 30 points: about 35% of voters vote Democratic and 65% Republican.
About 39% of adults in 32403 typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 32403, ~14% vote Democratic, ~26% Republican, and ~60% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 32403 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 32403 leans more Republican than 2 of 6 neighbors.
32403 runs about 18 points more Republican than Florida as a whole.
Why 32403 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 32403, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with many family households vote Republican. More than 99% of households in 32403 are family households, about 33 points above the U.S. average of 67%.
Population density, never-married share, and Republican lean
Places that combine low population density and a never-married-heavy adult population tend to lean Republican, as 32403, FL does.
Why turnout in 32403 looks the way it does
Renters vote less often than owners. More than 99% of households in 32403 rent, about 75 points above the U.S. average of 25%. Strong routine healthcare access lines up with higher turnout, and 32403 sits in the top quarter on routine-care measures. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.