32502 is a true toss-up. About 50% of voters here vote Democratic and 50% Republican.
About 67% of adults in 32502 typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 32502, ~34% vote Democratic, ~34% Republican, and ~32% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 32502 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 32502 sits roughly in the middle of the political spectrum, with 14 neighbors leaning further in the place's direction and 4 leaning the other way.
32502 runs about 13 points more Democratic than Florida as a whole. Florida leans Republican overall, while 32502 sits closer to the political middle.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 32502. The northwest side runs the most Democratic (D+11) and the northeast side runs the most Republican (R+9), a spread of about 20 points.
Why 32502 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 32502, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
32502 votes against the grain of Florida. Florida leans Republican overall, while 32502 runs about 13 points more Democratic.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; 32502, FL sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in 32502 looks the way it does
Turnout in 32502 sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.