07863 leans Republican by roughly 30 points: about 35% of voters vote Democratic and 65% Republican.
About 75% of adults in 07863 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 07863, ~26% vote Democratic, ~49% Republican, and ~25% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 07863 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 07863 leans more Republican than 28 of 34 neighbors.
07863 runs about 35 points more Republican than New Jersey as a whole. New Jersey leans Democratic overall, while 07863 is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 07863. The northwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+40) and the southeast side is the least Republican-leaning (R+25), a spread of about 15 points.
Why 07863 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 07863, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
07863 votes against the grain of New Jersey. New Jersey leans Democratic overall, while 07863 runs about 35 points more Republican.
Renting and voter turnout
Places with homeowner-heavy households tend to turn out at a higher rate; 07863, NJ sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in 07863 looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. 07863 is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 68%, about 8 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 90% of households in 07863 own their home, above 86% of zip codes. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 96% of adults in 07863 have completed high school, above 82% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New Jersey Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.