32526 leans Republican by roughly 24 points: about 38% of voters vote Democratic and 62% Republican.
About 78% of adults in 32526 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 32526, ~30% vote Democratic, ~48% Republican, and ~22% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 32526 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 32526 leans more Republican than 13 of 19 neighbors.
32526 runs about 11 points more Republican than Florida as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 32526. The northwest side is the most split-leaning (R+41) and the southeast side is the least split-leaning (R+2), a spread of about 39 points.
Why 32526 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 32526, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
32526 votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 65%, modestly above the Florida average of 57%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here.
Walkability and Democratic lean
Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; 32526, FL sits above the national average on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in 32526 looks the way it does
Turnout in 32526 sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.