32534 leans slightly Republican by roughly 8 points: about 46% of voters vote Democratic and 54% Republican.
About 72% of adults in 32534 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 32534, ~33% vote Democratic, ~39% Republican, and ~28% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 32534 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 32534 leans more Republican than 6 of 20 neighbors.
32534 runs about 5 points more Democratic than Florida as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 32534. The southwest side runs the most Democratic (D+71) and the northwest side runs the most Republican (R+34), a spread of about 106 points.
Why 32534 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 32534, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
32534 votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 92%, far above the Florida average of 57%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here.
Walkability and Democratic lean
Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; 32534, FL sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in 32534 looks the way it does
Turnout in 32534 sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.