32709 leans heavily Republican by roughly 42 points: about 29% of voters vote Democratic and 71% Republican.
About 80% of adults in 32709 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 32709, ~23% vote Democratic, ~57% Republican, and ~20% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 32709 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 32709 leans more Republican than 13 of 14 neighbors.
32709 runs about 29 points more Republican than Florida as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 32709. The west side is the most Republican-leaning (R+45) and the southeast side is the least Republican-leaning (R+29), a spread of about 16 points.
Why 32709 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 32709, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with many family households vote Republican. About 89% of households in 32709 are family households, about 22 points above the U.S. average of 67%. Rural areas vote Republican, and 32709 sits in the bottom quarter on density (about 5%, below 83% of zip codes).
Population density and Republican lean
Places with low population density tend to lean Republican; 32709, FL sits below the national average on this measure.
Why turnout in 32709 looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 88% of households in 32709 own their home, about 17 points above the Florida average of 71%. Limited routine healthcare access lines up with lower turnout, and 32709 sits in the bottom quarter on routine-care measures. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.