96785 leans heavily Democratic by roughly 32 points: about 66% of voters vote Democratic and 34% Republican.
About 60% of adults in 96785 typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 96785, ~40% vote Democratic, ~20% Republican, and ~40% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 96785 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 96785 is the most Democratic-leaning.
96785 runs about 9 points more Democratic than Hawaii as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 96785. The east side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+35) and the southwest side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+23), a spread of about 12 points.
Why 96785 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 96785, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 47% of adults in 96785 hold a bachelor's degree, about 19 points above the U.S. average of 28%.
Housing overcrowding and voter turnout
Places with heavy housing overcrowding tend to turn out at a lower rate; 96785, HI sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in 96785 looks the way it does
Areas with high food insecurity turn out at lower rates. About 23% of adults in 96785 report food insecurity, about 7 points above the U.S. average of 16%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Hawaii Office of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Some land-use inputs for Hawaii, including walkability and the environmental-justice index, are estimated rather than measured, so the figures here carry added uncertainty. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.