32757 leans Republican by roughly 18 points: about 41% of voters vote Democratic and 59% Republican.
About 79% of adults in 32757 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 32757, ~32% vote Democratic, ~47% Republican, and ~21% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 32757 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 32757 leans more Republican than 5 of 17 neighbors.
32757 runs about 5 points more Republican than Florida as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 32757. The north side runs the most Democratic (D+9) and the southwest side runs the most Republican (R+38), a spread of about 46 points.
Why 32757 leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in 32757. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; 32757, FL sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in 32757 looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. 32757 is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.