32811 is a Democratic stronghold. About 76% of voters here vote Democratic and 24% Republican.
About 44% of adults in 32811 typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 32811, ~33% vote Democratic, ~11% Republican, and ~56% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 32811 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 32811 leans more Democratic than 40 of 43 neighbors.
32811 runs about 64 points more Democratic than Florida as a whole. Florida leans Republican overall, while 32811 is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 32811. The east side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+83) and the southwest side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+31), a spread of about 51 points.
Why 32811 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 32811, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. About 84% of residents in 32811 live in densely developed areas, about 48 points above the U.S. average of 36%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 47% of adults in 32811 have never been married, above 93% of zip codes. 32811 runs against the grain of Florida, a Democratic-leaning pocket in a Republican-leaning state.
Walkability and Democratic lean
Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; 32811, FL sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in 32811 looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. 32811 is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 46%, about 11 points below the Florida average of 56%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 67% of households in 32811 rent, compared to around 52% in nearby zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.