32810 leans Democratic by roughly 28 points: about 64% of voters vote Democratic and 36% Republican.
About 54% of adults in 32810 typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 32810, ~35% vote Democratic, ~19% Republican, and ~46% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 32810 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 32810 leans more Democratic than 39 of 45 neighbors.
32810 runs about 41 points more Democratic than Florida as a whole. Florida leans Republican overall, while 32810 is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 32810. The west side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+51) and the north side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+11), a spread of about 40 points.
Why 32810 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 32810, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Density combined with diversity predicts Democratic voting. Non-Hispanic white share in 32810 is about 27%, about 45 points below the U.S. average of 72%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 42% of adults in 32810 have never been married, above 89% of zip codes. 32810 runs against the grain of Florida, a Democratic-leaning pocket in a Republican-leaning state.
Walkability and Democratic lean
Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; 32810, FL sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in 32810 looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. 32810 is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 44% of households in 32810 rent, about 19 points above the U.S. average of 25%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.