32920 leans Republican by roughly 18 points: about 41% of voters vote Democratic and 59% Republican.
About 69% of adults in 32920 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 32920, ~28% vote Democratic, ~41% Republican, and ~31% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 32920 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 32920 leans more Republican than 1 of 9 neighbors.
32920 runs about 4 points more Republican than Florida as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 32920. The south side is the most Republican-leaning (R+22) and the northeast side is the least Republican-leaning (R+8), a spread of about 14 points.
Why 32920 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 32920, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
32920 votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 60%, about 24 points above the U.S. average of 36%). Here an older population outweighs the Democratic lean that density usually predicts.
Park access and Republican lean
Places with low park coverage tend to lean Republican; 32920, FL sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Park access does not change how people vote; it tends to track denser, higher-income areas.
Why turnout in 32920 looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. 32920 is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 63%, above 57% of zip codes. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 96% of adults in 32920 have completed high school, above 83% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.