33173 leans Republican by roughly 24 points: about 38% of voters vote Democratic and 62% Republican.
About 69% of adults in 33173 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 33173, ~26% vote Democratic, ~43% Republican, and ~31% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 33173 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 33173 leans more Republican than 38 of 59 neighbors.
33173 runs about 12 points more Republican than Florida as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 33173. The north side is the most Republican-leaning (R+37) and the west side is the least Republican-leaning (R+18), a spread of about 18 points.
Why 33173 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 33173, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
33173 votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 98%, far above the Florida average of 57%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 74% of households in 33173 are family households, above 78% of zip codes.
Non-English at home and voter turnout
Places with a low non-English-at-home share tend to turn out at a higher rate; 33173, FL sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in 33173 looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. 33173 is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The uninsured rate here is about 23%, about 8 points above the Florida average of 15%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.