33511 is a true toss-up. About 50% of voters here vote Democratic and 50% Republican.
About 61% of adults in 33511 typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 33511, ~30% vote Democratic, ~31% Republican, and ~39% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 33511 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 33511 sits roughly in the middle of the political spectrum, with 17 neighbors leaning further in the place's direction and 21 leaning the other way.
33511 runs about 13 points more Democratic than Florida as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 33511. The northwest side runs the most Democratic (D+19) and the east side runs the most Republican (R+25), a spread of about 44 points.
Why 33511 leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in 33511. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Homeownership and voter turnout
Places with renter-heavy households tend to turn out at a lower rate; 33511, FL sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in 33511 looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. 33511 is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 40% of households in 33511 rent, about 15 points above the U.S. average of 25%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.