34141 leans heavily Republican by roughly 48 points: about 26% of voters vote Democratic and 74% Republican.
About 72% of adults in 34141 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 34141, ~19% vote Democratic, ~53% Republican, and ~28% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 34141 compares
34141 runs about 34 points more Republican than Florida as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 34141. The northwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+63) and the southeast side is the least Republican-leaning (R+20), a spread of about 42 points.
Why 34141 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 34141, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with low college attainment vote Republican. About 4% of adults in 34141 hold a bachelor's degree, about 27 points below the Florida average of 31%. Rural areas vote Republican, and 34141 sits in the bottom quarter on density (fewer than 1%, in the bottom fraction of zip codes). A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 74% of households in 34141 are family households, above 76% of zip codes.
Paved land cover and Republican lean
Places with little paved surface tend to lean Republican; 34141, FL sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in 34141 looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. 34141 is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.