34120 leans heavily Republican by roughly 32 points: about 34% of voters vote Democratic and 66% Republican.
About 81% of adults in 34120 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 34120, ~28% vote Democratic, ~54% Republican, and ~18% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 34120 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 34120 leans more Republican than 11 of 12 neighbors.
34120 runs about 19 points more Republican than Florida as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 34120. The south side is the most Republican-leaning (R+41) and the west side is the least Republican-leaning (R+24), a spread of about 16 points.
Why 34120 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 34120, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with many family households vote Republican. About 78% of households in 34120 are family households, about 12 points above the U.S. average of 67%.
Non-English at home and voter turnout
Places with a low non-English-at-home share tend to turn out at a higher rate; 34120, FL sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in 34120 looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 90% of households in 34120 own their home, about 19 points above the Florida average of 71%. Limited routine healthcare access lines up with lower turnout, and 34120 sits in the bottom quarter on routine-care measures. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.