34744 is a true toss-up. About 50% of voters here vote Democratic and 50% Republican.
About 58% of adults in 34744 typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 34744, ~29% vote Democratic, ~29% Republican, and ~42% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 34744 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 34744 sits roughly in the middle of the political spectrum, with 9 neighbors leaning further in the place's direction and 14 leaning the other way.
34744 runs about 13 points more Democratic than Florida as a whole. Florida leans Republican overall, while 34744 sits closer to the political middle.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 34744. The west side runs the most Democratic (D+15) and the southwest side runs the most Republican (R+9), a spread of about 24 points.
Why 34744 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 34744, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
34744 votes against the grain of Florida. Florida leans Republican overall, while 34744 runs about 13 points more Democratic.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; 34744, FL sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in 34744 looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. 34744 is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The uninsured rate here is about 23%, about 8 points above the Florida average of 15%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.