32824 leans slightly Democratic by roughly 10 points: about 55% of voters vote Democratic and 45% Republican.
About 66% of adults in 32824 typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 32824, ~36% vote Democratic, ~29% Republican, and ~35% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 32824 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 32824 leans more Democratic than 23 of 34 neighbors.
32824 runs about 24 points more Democratic than Florida as a whole. Florida leans Republican overall, while 32824 is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 32824. The south side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+16) and the north side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+3), a spread of about 12 points.
Why 32824 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 32824, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Density combined with diversity predicts Democratic voting. Non-Hispanic white share in 32824 is about 16%, about 56 points below the U.S. average of 72%. High college attainment predicts Democratic voting, and 32824 sits in the top quarter (about 38%, above 79% of zip codes). 32824 runs against the grain of Florida, a Democratic-leaning pocket in a Republican-leaning state.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; 32824, FL sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in 32824 looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. 32824 is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The uninsured rate here is about 20%, about 5 points above the Florida average of 15%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.