37410 is a Democratic stronghold. About 89% of voters here vote Democratic and 11% Republican.
About 47% of adults in 37410 typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 37410, ~42% vote Democratic, ~5% Republican, and ~53% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 37410 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 37410 is the most Democratic-leaning.
37410 runs about 108 points more Democratic than Tennessee as a whole. Tennessee leans Republican overall, while 37410 is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 37410. The east side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+82) and the northwest side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+64), a spread of about 17 points.
Why 37410 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 37410, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. About 76% of residents in 37410 live in densely developed areas, about 39 points above the U.S. average of 36%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 66% of adults in 37410 have never been married, in the top fraction of zip codes. 37410 runs against the grain of Tennessee, a Democratic-leaning pocket in a Republican-leaning state.
Walkability and Democratic lean
Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; 37410, TN sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in 37410 looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. 37410 is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 36%, about 20 points below the Tennessee average of 56%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 76% of households in 37410 rent, compared to around 50% in nearby zip codes. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 68% of adults in 37410 have completed high school, below 98% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Tennessee Secretary of State, Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.