37416 leans Democratic by roughly 20 points: about 60% of voters vote Democratic and 40% Republican.
About 66% of adults in 37416 typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 37416, ~40% vote Democratic, ~26% Republican, and ~34% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 37416 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 37416 leans more Democratic than 19 of 28 neighbors.
37416 runs about 49 points more Democratic than Tennessee as a whole. Tennessee leans Republican overall, while 37416 is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 37416. The east side runs the most Democratic (D+59) and the northeast side runs the most Republican (R+22), a spread of about 82 points.
Why 37416 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 37416, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Density combined with diversity predicts Democratic voting. Non-Hispanic white share in 37416 is about 49%, about 23 points below the U.S. average of 72%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 36% of adults in 37416 have never been married, above 82% of zip codes. 37416 runs against the grain of Tennessee, a Democratic-leaning pocket in a Republican-leaning state.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; 37416, TN sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in 37416 looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. 37416 is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 59%, below 63% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Tennessee Secretary of State, Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.