40514 is a true toss-up. About 52% of voters here vote Democratic and 48% Republican.
About 76% of adults in 40514 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 40514, ~40% vote Democratic, ~36% Republican, and ~24% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 40514 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 40514 leans more Democratic than 7 of 20 neighbors.
40514 runs about 34 points more Democratic than Kentucky as a whole. Kentucky leans Republican overall, while 40514 is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Why 40514 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 40514, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
40514 votes against the grain of Kentucky. Kentucky leans Republican overall, while 40514 runs about 34 points more Democratic.
Paved land cover and Democratic lean
Places with extensive paved surfaces tend to lean Democratic; 40514, KY sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in 40514 looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. 40514 is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 70%, about 10 points above the U.S. average of 60%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 97% of adults in 40514 have completed high school, above 88% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Kentucky State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.