45863 is a Republican stronghold. About 15% of voters here vote Democratic and 85% Republican.
About 74% of adults in 45863 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 45863, ~11% vote Democratic, ~63% Republican, and ~26% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 45863 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 45863 leans more Republican than 11 of 16 neighbors.
45863 runs about 59 points more Republican than Ohio as a whole.
Why 45863 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 45863, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with a high white share and below-average college attainment vote Republican. In 45863, about 98% of residents are non-Hispanic white, about 25 points above the U.S. average of 72%; about 13% of adults hold a bachelor's degree, about 10 points below the Ohio average of 23%. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 74% of households in 45863 are family households, above 76% of zip codes.
Renting and voter turnout
Places with homeowner-heavy households tend to turn out at a higher rate; 45863, OH sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in 45863 looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 93% of households in 45863 own their home, about 16 points above the Ohio average of 77%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 97% of adults in 45863 have completed high school, above 86% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Ohio Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.