45886 is a Republican stronghold. About 18% of voters here vote Democratic and 82% Republican.
About 82% of adults in 45886 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 45886, ~15% vote Democratic, ~67% Republican, and ~18% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 45886 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 45886 leans more Republican than 6 of 12 neighbors.
45886 runs about 54 points more Republican than Ohio as a whole.
Why 45886 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 45886, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Car-dependent areas vote Republican. About 88% of residents in 45886 drive to work alone, about 14 points above the U.S. average of 74%. A high white share with below-average college attainment predicts Republican voting, and 45886 fits that profile on both counts.
Homeownership and voter turnout
Places with homeowner-heavy households tend to turn out at a higher rate; 45886, OH sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in 45886 looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 91% of households in 45886 own their home, about 14 points above the Ohio average of 77%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 96% of adults in 45886 have completed high school, above 80% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Ohio Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.