46038 leans slightly Democratic by roughly 6 points: about 53% of voters vote Democratic and 47% Republican.
About 78% of adults in 46038 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 46038, ~41% vote Democratic, ~37% Republican, and ~22% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 46038 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 46038 leans more Democratic than 14 of 34 neighbors.
46038 runs about 24 points more Democratic than Indiana as a whole. Indiana leans Republican overall, while 46038 is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 46038. The south side runs the most Democratic (D+12) and the northwest side runs the most Republican (R+12), a spread of about 23 points.
Why 46038 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 46038, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 62% of adults in 46038 hold a bachelor's degree, about 33 points above the U.S. average of 28%. Dense areas vote Democratic, and 46038 sits in the top fifth on density (about 92%, above 89% of zip codes). 46038 runs against the grain of Indiana, a Democratic-leaning pocket in a Republican-leaning state.
Walkability and Democratic lean
Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; 46038, IN sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in 46038 looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. 46038 is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 74%, about 14 points above the U.S. average of 60%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 97% of adults in 46038 have completed high school, above 91% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Indiana Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.