49316 leans Republican by roughly 16 points: about 42% of voters vote Democratic and 58% Republican.
About 93% of adults in 49316 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 49316, ~39% vote Democratic, ~54% Republican, and ~7% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 49316 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 49316 leans more Republican than 14 of 22 neighbors.
49316 runs about 14 points more Republican than Michigan as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 49316. The northwest side runs the most Democratic (D+5) and the southwest side runs the most Republican (R+37), a spread of about 42 points.
Why 49316 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 49316, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with many family households vote Republican. About 81% of households in 49316 are family households, about 14 points above the U.S. average of 67%.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with high colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a higher rate; 49316, MI sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in 49316 looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. 49316 is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 74%, about 14 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 88% of households in 49316 own their home, above 82% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Michigan Department of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.