77802 is a true toss-up. About 48% of voters here vote Democratic and 52% Republican.
About 62% of adults in 77802 typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 77802, ~30% vote Democratic, ~32% Republican, and ~38% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 77802 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 77802 leans more Republican than 3 of 9 neighbors.
77802 runs about 9 points more Democratic than Texas as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 77802. The south side runs the most Democratic (D+5) and the northeast side runs the most Republican (R+24), a spread of about 30 points.
Why 77802 leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in 77802. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Homeownership and voter turnout
Places with renter-heavy households tend to turn out at a lower rate; 77802, TX sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in 77802 looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. 77802 is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 45% of households in 77802 rent, about 20 points above the U.S. average of 25%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.