85297 leans Republican by roughly 18 points: about 41% of voters vote Democratic and 59% Republican.
About 81% of adults in 85297 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 85297, ~33% vote Democratic, ~48% Republican, and ~19% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 85297 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 85297 leans more Republican than 25 of 34 neighbors.
85297 runs about 13 points more Republican than Arizona as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 85297. The south side is the most Republican-leaning (R+24) and the southwest side is the least Republican-leaning (R+13), a spread of about 11 points.
Why 85297 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 85297, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
85297 votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 95%, far above the Arizona average of 39%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 83% of households in 85297 are family households, above 96% of zip codes.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; 85297, AZ sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in 85297 looks the way it does
Areas with high high-school completion turn out at higher rates. About 99% of adults in 85297 have completed high school, about 12 points above the Arizona average of 87%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arizona Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.