85322 leans heavily Republican by roughly 48 points: about 26% of voters vote Democratic and 74% Republican.
About 48% of adults in 85322 typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 85322, ~12% vote Democratic, ~36% Republican, and ~52% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 85322 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 85322 leans more Republican than 1 of 3 neighbors.
85322 runs about 42 points more Republican than Arizona as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 85322. The north side is the most Republican-leaning (R+53) and the southeast side is the least Republican-leaning (R+41), a spread of about 12 points.
Why 85322 leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in 85322. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Paved land cover and Republican lean
Places with little paved surface tend to lean Republican; 85322, AZ sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in 85322 looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. 85322 is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Crowded housing lines up with lower turnout, and about 7% of homes in 85322 have more than one occupant per room, above 91% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arizona Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.