85343 leans heavily Republican by roughly 50 points: about 25% of voters vote Democratic and 75% Republican.
About 46% of adults in 85343 typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 85343, ~12% vote Democratic, ~34% Republican, and ~54% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 85343 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 85343 leans more Republican than 3 of 4 neighbors.
85343 runs about 44 points more Republican than Arizona as a whole.
Why 85343 leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in 85343. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Population density, never-married share, and Republican lean
Places that combine low population density and a never-married-heavy adult population tend to lean Republican, as 85343, AZ does.
Why turnout in 85343 looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. 85343 is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 42% of households in 85343 rent, compared to around 20% in nearby zip codes. Crowded housing lines up with lower turnout, and about 10% of homes in 85343 have more than one occupant per room, above 96% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arizona Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.