87315 leans heavily Republican by roughly 48 points: about 26% of voters vote Democratic and 74% Republican.
About 63% of adults in 87315 typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 87315, ~16% vote Democratic, ~47% Republican, and ~37% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 87315 compares
87315 runs about 53 points more Republican than New Mexico as a whole. New Mexico leans Democratic overall, while 87315 is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 87315. The northeast side runs the most Democratic (D+30) and the southwest side runs the most Republican (R+63), a spread of about 93 points.
Why 87315 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 87315, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
87315 votes against the grain of New Mexico. New Mexico leans Democratic overall, while 87315 runs about 53 points more Republican. Low college attainment predicts Republican voting, and 87315 sits in the bottom quarter (about 5%, in the bottom fraction of zip codes). A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 96% of households in 87315 are family households, in the top fraction of zip codes.
Walkability and Republican lean
Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; 87315, NM sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in 87315 looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 93% of households in 87315 own their home, about 13 points above the New Mexico average of 80%. Limited routine healthcare access lines up with lower turnout, and 87315 sits in the bottom quarter on routine-care measures. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 97% of adults in 87315 have completed high school, above 91% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New Mexico Secretary of State, Bureau of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.