89104 leans Democratic by roughly 26 points: about 63% of voters vote Democratic and 37% Republican.
About 42% of adults in 89104 typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 89104, ~26% vote Democratic, ~16% Republican, and ~58% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 89104 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 89104 leans more Democratic than 45 of 54 neighbors.
89104 runs about 29 points more Democratic than Nevada as a whole. Nevada leans Republican overall, while 89104 is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 89104. The southwest side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+33) and the east side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+19), a spread of about 14 points.
Why 89104 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 89104, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. More than 99% of residents in 89104 live in densely developed areas, about 64 points above the U.S. average of 36%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 43% of adults in 89104 have never been married, above 90% of zip codes. 89104 runs against the grain of Nevada, a Democratic-leaning pocket in a Republican-leaning state.
Walkability and Democratic lean
Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; 89104, NV sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in 89104 looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. 89104 is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 46%, about 12 points below the Nevada average of 58%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 51% of households in 89104 rent, about 26 points above the U.S. average of 25%. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 31% of adults in 89104 report food insecurity, above 95% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Nevada Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.