93202 leans slightly Republican by roughly 12 points: about 44% of voters vote Democratic and 56% Republican.
About 46% of adults in 93202 typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 93202, ~20% vote Democratic, ~26% Republican, and ~54% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 93202 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 93202 leans more Republican than 1 of 5 neighbors.
93202 runs about 32 points more Republican than California as a whole. California leans Democratic overall, while 93202 is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 93202. The northwest side is the most split-leaning (R+24) and the east side is the least split-leaning (Even), a spread of about 22 points.
Why 93202 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 93202, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with low college attainment vote Republican. About 8% of adults in 93202 hold a bachelor's degree, about 27 points below the California average of 35%. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 77% of households in 93202 are family households, above 84% of zip codes. 93202 runs against the grain of California, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with low colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a lower rate; 93202, CA sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in 93202 looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. 93202 is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 43% of households in 93202 rent, about 18 points above the U.S. average of 25%. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 29% of adults in 93202 report food insecurity, above 93% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.