95206 leans Democratic by roughly 26 points: about 63% of voters vote Democratic and 37% Republican.
About 37% of adults in 95206 typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 95206, ~23% vote Democratic, ~14% Republican, and ~63% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 95206 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 95206 leans more Democratic than 19 of 22 neighbors.
95206 runs about 5 points more Democratic than California as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 95206. The northeast side runs the most Democratic (D+34) and the northwest side runs the most Republican (Even), a spread of about 35 points.
Why 95206 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 95206, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. About 92% of residents in 95206 live in densely developed areas, about 56 points above the U.S. average of 36%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 45% of adults in 95206 have never been married, above 92% of zip codes.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; 95206, CA sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in 95206 looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. 95206 is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 47%, about 15 points below the California average of 62%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 40% of households in 95206 rent, about 15 points above the U.S. average of 25%. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 33% of adults in 95206 report food insecurity, above 96% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.