96712 leans slightly Democratic by roughly 6 points: about 53% of voters vote Democratic and 47% Republican.
About 62% of adults in 96712 typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 96712, ~33% vote Democratic, ~29% Republican, and ~38% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 96712 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 96712 leans more Democratic than 1 of 9 neighbors.
96712 runs about 17 points more Republican than Hawaii as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 96712. The east side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+14) and the northeast side is the least Democratic-leaning (Even), a spread of about 13 points.
Why 96712 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 96712, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with many never-married adults vote Democratic. About 37% of adults in 96712 have never been married, modestly above similar-sized zip codes (around 30%).
High-school completion, uninsured rate, and voter turnout
Places that combine high-school-completion-heavy adults and a low uninsured rate tend to turn out at a higher rate, as 96712, HI does.
Why turnout in 96712 looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. 96712 is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 70%, about 10 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Hawaii Office of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Some land-use inputs for Hawaii, including walkability and the environmental-justice index, are estimated rather than measured, so the figures here carry added uncertainty. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.