96778 leans Democratic by roughly 18 points: about 59% of voters vote Democratic and 41% Republican.
About 56% of adults in 96778 typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 96778, ~33% vote Democratic, ~23% Republican, and ~44% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 96778 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 96778 leans more Democratic than 2 of 3 neighbors.
96778 runs about 6 points more Republican than Hawaii as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 96778. The south side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+31) and the northwest side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+7), a spread of about 24 points.
Why 96778 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 96778, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with many never-married adults vote Democratic. About 34% of adults in 96778 have never been married, modestly above similar-sized zip codes (around 28%).
Food insecurity and voter turnout
Places with high food insecurity tend to turn out at a lower rate; 96778, HI sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Food insecurity does not directly drive turnout; it reflects economic hardship, which lines up with lower voting.
Why turnout in 96778 looks the way it does
Areas with high food insecurity turn out at lower rates. About 31% of adults in 96778 report food insecurity, about 14 points above the U.S. average of 16%. High-crime urban areas turn out at lower rates, and 96778 sits in the top 15% on a violent-crime measure. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Hawaii Office of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Some land-use inputs for Hawaii, including walkability and the environmental-justice index, are estimated rather than measured, so the figures here carry added uncertainty. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.