99612 leans slightly Democratic by roughly 6 points: about 53% of voters vote Democratic and 47% Republican. These figures are model estimates: Alaska did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the numbers above come from demographic and health features rather than local ground truth.
About 46% of adults in 99612 typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 99612, ~24% vote Democratic, ~22% Republican, and ~54% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 99612 compares
99612 runs about 19 points more Democratic than Alaska as a whole. Alaska leans Republican overall, while 99612 is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Why 99612 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 99612, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with many never-married adults vote Democratic. About 42% of adults in 99612 have never been married, well above similar-sized zip codes (around 25%). 99612 runs against the grain of Alaska, a Democratic-leaning pocket in a Republican-leaning state.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; 99612, AK sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in 99612 looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. 99612 is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 45%, about 15 points below the U.S. average of 60%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 41% of households in 99612 rent, about 16 points above the U.S. average of 25%. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 22% of adults in 99612 report food insecurity, above 84% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Alaska Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. AK did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the figures here come from extrapolation across demographic, health, and land-use features rather than local ground truth. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.