Abingdon leans heavily Republican by roughly 40 points: about 30% of voters vote Democratic and 70% Republican.
About 84% of adults in Abingdon typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Abingdon, ~25% vote Democratic, ~59% Republican, and ~16% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Abingdon compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Abingdon is the least Republican-leaning.
Abingdon runs about 46 points more Republican than Virginia as a whole. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while Abingdon is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Abingdon. The northwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+63) and the north side is the least Republican-leaning (R+21), a spread of about 42 points.
Why Abingdon leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Abingdon, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Abingdon votes against the grain of Virginia. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while Abingdon runs about 46 points more Republican. Dense places usually vote Democratic, but Abingdon runs against that pattern.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with high colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Abingdon, VA sits above the national average on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in Abingdon looks the way it does
Turnout in Abingdon sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Scott Addition, VA R+58
- Wyndale, VA R+61
- Delmar, VA R+62
- Meadowview, VA R+59
- Duncanville, VA R+73
- Roebuck, VA R+70
- Lindell, VA R+72
- Holston Valley, TN R+74
- Emory, VA R+50
- Lodi, VA R+67
Cities with Similar Populations
- Canton, MA D+26
- Manvel, TX D+5
- Piqua, OH R+43
- Chantilly, VA D+21
- Farragut, TN R+23
- West Memphis, AR D+44
- Harrison, AR R+53
- Harrison Township, MI R+11
- Scotch Plains, NJ D+23
- Natchitoches, LA D+10
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Virginia Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.