Manvel is a true toss-up. About 52% of voters here vote Democratic and 48% Republican.
About 64% of adults in Manvel typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Manvel, ~33% vote Democratic, ~31% Republican, and ~36% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Manvel compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Manvel leans more Democratic than 48 of 66 neighbors.
Manvel runs about 19 points more Democratic than Texas as a whole. Texas leans Republican overall, while Manvel is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Manvel. The west side runs the most Democratic (D+39) and the southeast side runs the most Republican (R+47), a spread of about 86 points.
Why Manvel leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Manvel, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Manvel votes against the grain of Texas. Texas leans Republican overall, while Manvel runs about 19 points more Democratic.
Paved land cover and Democratic lean
Places with extensive paved surfaces tend to lean Democratic; Manvel, TX sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Manvel looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Manvel is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Iowa Colony, TX D+5
- Pearland, TX Even
- Rosharon, TX D+15
- Arcola, TX D+26
- Juliff, TX D+48
- Fresno, TX D+55
- Brookside Village, TX R+32
- Sienna Plantation, TX R+5
- Alvin, TX R+42
- Missouri City, TX D+36
Cities with Similar Populations
- Canton, MA D+26
- Abingdon, VA R+41
- Chantilly, VA D+21
- Piqua, OH R+43
- Farragut, TN R+23
- Harrison Township, MI R+11
- West Memphis, AR D+44
- Harrison, AR R+53
- Hinsdale, IL D+12
- Scotch Plains, NJ D+23
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.