Arlington Hills, Jacksonville, FL Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Arlington Hills

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Arlington Hills leans slightly Democratic by roughly 14 points: about 57% of voters vote Democratic and 43% Republican.

 

About 56% of adults in Arlington Hills typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Arlington Hills, ~32% vote Democratic, ~24% Republican, and ~44% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Arlington Hills compares

Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Arlington Hills leans more Democratic than 10 of 20 neighbors.

Arlington Hills runs about 27 points more Democratic than Florida as a whole. Florida leans Republican overall, while Arlington Hills is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.

Why Arlington Hills leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Arlington Hills, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Arlington Hills votes against the grain of Florida. Florida leans Republican overall, while Arlington Hills runs about 27 points more Democratic.

Population density and Democratic lean

Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Arlington Hills, Jacksonville, FL sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure.

Why turnout in Arlington Hills looks the way it does

Turnout in Arlington Hills sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.