Ashley Falls leans slightly Democratic by roughly 12 points: about 56% of voters vote Democratic and 44% Republican.
About 96% of adults in Ashley Falls typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Ashley Falls, ~54% vote Democratic, ~42% Republican, and ~4% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Ashley Falls compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Ashley Falls leans more Democratic than 30 of 67 neighbors.
Ashley Falls runs about 14 points more Republican than Massachusetts as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Ashley Falls. The south side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+26) and the southeast side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+8), a spread of about 18 points.
Why Ashley Falls leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Ashley Falls, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 41% of adults in Ashley Falls hold a bachelor's degree, about 12 points above the U.S. average of 28%.
Population density, never-married share, and Democratic lean
Places that combine high population density and a low never-married share tend to lean Democratic, as Ashley Falls, MA does.
Why turnout in Ashley Falls looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Ashley Falls is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 72%, about 12 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 99% of households in Ashley Falls own their home, about 24 points above the U.S. average of 75%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 96% of adults in Ashley Falls have completed high school, above 81% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Southfield, MA D+32
- Sheffield, MA D+22
- Mill River, MA D+28
- Hartsville, MA D+42
- Berkshire Heights, MA D+61
- New Marlboro, MA D+26
- South Egremont, MA D+54
- South Sandisfield, MA D+11
- Great Barrington, MA D+54
Cities with Similar Populations
- The Rock, GA R+72
- Lake Lillian, MN R+45
- Girkin, KY R+50
- Brenton, WV R+72
- Idlewild, MI D+3
- Cantrall, IL R+38
- Garrett, TX R+33
- Elkton, OR R+38
- Lewiston Woodville, NC D+64
- Richmond Corner, ME R+17
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Massachusetts Secretary of the Commonwealth, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.