Bailey Island leans heavily Democratic by roughly 38 points: about 69% of voters vote Democratic and 31% Republican. These figures are model estimates: Maine did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the numbers above come from demographic and health features rather than local ground truth.
About 87% of adults in Bailey Island typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Bailey Island, ~60% vote Democratic, ~27% Republican, and ~13% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Bailey Island compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Bailey Island leans more Democratic than 55 of 66 neighbors.
Bailey Island runs about 31 points more Democratic than Maine as a whole.
Why Bailey Island leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Bailey Island, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 42% of adults in Bailey Island hold a bachelor's degree, about 13 points above the U.S. average of 28%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 39% of adults in Bailey Island have never been married, above 92% of cities.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Bailey Island, ME sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Bailey Island looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Bailey Island is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 77%, about 17 points above the U.S. average of 60%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and more than 99% of adults in Bailey Island have completed high school, in the top fraction of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Orrs Island, ME D+37
- West Harpswell, ME D+23
- Chebeague Island, ME D+33
- Harpswell, ME D+36
- West Point, ME D+4
- Sebasco Estates, ME Even
- Long Island, ME D+52
Cities with Similar Populations
- Grover, CO R+72
- Harmony Grove, TN R+69
- Grove Hill, NC D+40
- West Point, AR R+58
- Beech Grove, KY R+62
- Timberon, NM R+83
- Tioga, WV R+62
- Hutchinson, PA R+43
- South Danby, NY D+57
- New Gottland, KS R+61
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Maine Secretary of State, Bureau of Corporations Elections and Commissions, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. ME did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the figures here come from extrapolation across demographic, health, and land-use features rather than local ground truth. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.