Grove Hill leans heavily Democratic by roughly 40 points: about 70% of voters vote Democratic and 30% Republican.
About 60% of adults in Grove Hill typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Grove Hill, ~42% vote Democratic, ~18% Republican, and ~40% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Grove Hill compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Grove Hill leans more Democratic than 55 of 66 neighbors.
Grove Hill runs about 43 points more Democratic than North Carolina as a whole. North Carolina leans Republican overall, while Grove Hill is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Grove Hill. The north side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+44) and the northwest side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+9), a spread of about 35 points.
Why Grove Hill leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Grove Hill, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Grove Hill votes against the grain of North Carolina. North Carolina leans Republican overall, while Grove Hill runs about 43 points more Democratic. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 33% of adults in Grove Hill have never been married, above 84% of cities.
Walkability and Republican lean
Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; Grove Hill, NC sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Grove Hill looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Grove Hill is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 48%, about 12 points below the North Carolina average of 61%. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 34% of adults in Grove Hill report food insecurity, above 97% of cities. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 71% of adults in Grove Hill have completed high school, below 97% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Embro, NC D+9
- Hollister, NC D+41
- Warrenton, NC D+34
- Ita, NC D+42
- Wood, NC R+15
- Ringwood, NC D+65
- Littleton, NC R+10
- Macon, NC R+19
- Andersons Crossroads, NC D+28
- Warren Plains, NC D+42
Cities with Similar Populations
- Glendon, PA R+15
- Robat, SC R+61
- Swan, IN R+55
- Maplehurst, NY R+43
- Swain, NY R+56
- Flatwoods, LA R+70
- Jameson, MN R+26
- Nutbush, TN D+16
- McKinnon, FL R+68
- Seneca, NE R+79
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from North Carolina State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.