Bailey's Crossroads leans heavily Democratic by roughly 44 points: about 72% of voters vote Democratic and 28% Republican.
About 51% of adults in Bailey's Crossroads typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Bailey's Crossroads, ~37% vote Democratic, ~14% Republican, and ~49% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Bailey's Crossroads compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Bailey's Crossroads leans more Democratic than 6 of 41 neighbors.
Bailey's Crossroads runs about 38 points more Democratic than Virginia as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within Bailey's Crossroads. The east side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+54) and the west side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+37), a spread of about 17 points.
Why Bailey's Crossroads leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in Bailey's Crossroads. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Bailey's Crossroads, Falls Church, VA sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Bailey's Crossroads looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Bailey's Crossroads is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 62% of households in Bailey's Crossroads rent, about 37 points above the U.S. average of 25%. Crowded housing lines up with lower turnout, and about 13% of homes in Bailey's Crossroads have more than one occupant per room, above 94% of neighborhoods. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Forest Glen, Arlington, VA D+43
- Lake Barcroft, Falls Church, VA D+41
- Columbia Heights West, Arlington, VA D+40
- Columbia Forest, Arlington, VA D+51
- Alexandria Wrest, Alexandria, VA D+51
- Barcroft, Arlington, VA D+48
- Douglas Park, Arlington, VA D+53
- Bluemont, Arlington, VA D+60
- Buckingham, Arlington, VA D+52
- Fairlington-Shirlington, Arlington, VA D+64
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Southeast, Eugene, OR D+63
- Hidden Valley, Charlotte, NC D+68
- Brookline, Pittsburgh, PA D+23
- Berkeley Hills, Berkeley, CA D+83
- Cultural Corridor, Las Vegas, NV D+34
- Downtown Yonkers, Yonkers, NY D+48
- Savage-Guilford, Laurel, MD D+52
- South Park, Los Angeles, CA D+58
- South Englewood, Chicago, IL D+83
- Valley Station, Louisville, KY R+15
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Virginia Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.