Baker County is a Republican stronghold. About 19% of voters here vote Democratic and 81% Republican.
About 79% of adults in Baker County typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Baker County, ~15% vote Democratic, ~64% Republican, and ~21% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Baker County compares
Among counties within 50 miles, Baker County is the most Republican-leaning.
Baker County runs about 48 points more Republican than Florida as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by city within Baker County. The north side is the most Republican-leaning (R+74) and the southwest side is the least Republican-leaning (R+43), a spread of about 31 points.
Why Baker County leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per county to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Baker County, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with many family households vote Republican. About 72% of households in Baker County are family households, about 6 points above the U.S. average of 67%.
Renting and voter turnout
Places with homeowner-heavy households tend to turn out at a higher rate; Baker County, FL sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Baker County looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 87% of households in Baker County own their home, about 15 points above the Florida average of 71%. Limited routine healthcare access lines up with lower turnout, and Baker County sits in the bottom quarter on routine-care measures. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Counties
- Union County, FL R+61
- Bradford County, FL R+50
- Clay County, FL R+31
- Columbia County, FL R+44
- Duval County, FL D+7
- Charlton County, GA R+46
- Nassau County, FL R+47
- Alachua County, FL D+22
- Suwannee County, FL R+58
- Camden County, GA R+35
Counties with Similar Populations
- Carroll County, AR R+48
- Dunklin County, MO R+50
- Montgomery County, IL R+44
- Wythe County, VA R+57
- Dillon County, SC R+5
- Bradford County, FL R+50
- Codington County, SD R+42
- Grant County, NM D+6
- Washington County, IN R+57
- Wells County, IN R+56
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.