Bal Harbour leans Republican by roughly 28 points: about 36% of voters vote Democratic and 64% Republican.
About 67% of adults in Bal Harbour typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Bal Harbour, ~24% vote Democratic, ~43% Republican, and ~33% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Bal Harbour compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Bal Harbour leans more Republican than 65 of 81 neighbors.
Bal Harbour runs about 14 points more Republican than Florida as a whole.
Why Bal Harbour leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Bal Harbour, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Bal Harbour votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 66%, modestly above the Florida average of 57%). Here an older population outweighs the Democratic lean that density usually predicts.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Bal Harbour, FL sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Bal Harbour looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Bal Harbour is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 65%, above 67% of cities. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 98% of adults in Bal Harbour have completed high school, above 97% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Bay Harbor Islands, FL R+15
- Surfside, FL R+21
- North Bay Village, FL R+5
- Sunny Isles Beach, FL R+25
- North Miami Beach, FL D+20
- North Miami, FL D+41
- Biscayne Park, FL D+12
- Aventura, FL R+13
- Miami Shores, FL D+30
Cities with Similar Populations
- Haskell, OK R+57
- St. Ignatius, MT R+20
- Woodville, WI R+35
- Borden, IN R+51
- Jay, FL R+82
- Napanoch, NY R+15
- Lapel, IN R+43
- Frisco City, AL R+44
- Summit Hill, PA R+30
- Lyman, WY R+72
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.