North Bay Village, FL Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in North Bay Village

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

North Bay Village leans slightly Republican by roughly 6 points: about 47% of voters vote Democratic and 53% Republican.

 

About 52% of adults in North Bay Village typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in North Bay Village, ~24% vote Democratic, ~28% Republican, and ~48% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How North Bay Village compares

Among cities within 25 miles, North Bay Village leans more Republican than 40 of 82 neighbors.

North Bay Village runs about 8 points more Democratic than Florida as a whole.

Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within North Bay Village. The south side is the most split-leaning (R+15) and the southwest side is the least split-leaning (Even), a spread of about 14 points.

Why North Bay Village leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for North Bay Village, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

North Bay Village votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 75%, well above the Florida average of 57%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here.

Homeownership and voter turnout

Places with renter-heavy households tend to turn out at a lower rate; North Bay Village, FL sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure.

Why turnout in North Bay Village looks the way it does

Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. North Bay Village is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The uninsured rate here is about 21%, about 6 points above the Florida average of 15%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 59% of households in North Bay Village rent, compared to around 39% in nearby cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.