Barnegat Pines leans heavily Republican by roughly 42 points: about 29% of voters vote Democratic and 71% Republican.
About 85% of adults in Barnegat Pines typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Barnegat Pines, ~25% vote Democratic, ~60% Republican, and ~15% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Barnegat Pines compares
Barnegat Pines runs about 48 points more Republican than New Jersey as a whole. New Jersey leans Democratic overall, while Barnegat Pines is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Barnegat Pines leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Barnegat Pines, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Barnegat Pines votes against the grain of New Jersey. New Jersey leans Democratic overall, while Barnegat Pines runs about 48 points more Republican. Rural areas with a high white share vote Republican. Non-Hispanic white share in Barnegat Pines is about 86%, well above similar-sized neighborhoods (around 61%).
Paved land cover and Republican lean
Places with little paved surface tend to lean Republican; Barnegat Pines, Forked River, NJ sits below the national average on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Barnegat Pines looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 92% of households in Barnegat Pines own their home, about 18 points above the New Jersey average of 74%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Dover Heights, Toms River, NJ R+27
- West Osbornsville, Brick, NJ R+32
- Arrowhead Park, Brick, NJ R+33
- Point Pleasant Manor, Brick, NJ R+31
- Downtown Neptune City, Neptune City, NJ D+8
- Berkley Estates, Neptune, NJ D+46
- Atlantic City Inlet, Atlantic City, NJ D+57
- Westside, Atlantic City, NJ D+68
- Chelsea, Atlantic City, NJ D+12
- Lower Chelsea, Atlantic City, NJ D+15
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Shirrells, San Bernardino, CA D+53
- Columbine Knolls South, Columbine, CO D+3
- Summit Ridge at West Meadows, Dakota Ridge, CO D+15
- Kenwood, Cincinnati, OH D+12
- Pill Hill, Oakland, CA D+79
- North Main Historic District, Mount Vernon, OH R+36
- Colonial Avenue Area, Roanoke, VA D+20
- Northridge, Orem, UT R+31
- Shingle Creek, Minneapolis, MN D+47
- Harlan Ranch, Clovis, CA R+17
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New Jersey Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.